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Saturday, 6, October 2001

Expansion of NATO to the East from the other side

War will be carried out, most likely, by a principle «water turns the stone» – air strikes, local special actions.

In address of editorial board of Kavkaz-Сenter came many letters with the most various opinions on occurring events in the world. We publish some of these letters on a forum, and some we bring to attention of our constant readers. Today we publish one such opinion of our reader, which, unfortunately, has subscribed only to no one.

«Now is widening discussion that how Russia should behave concerning actions of Washington directed on launching the next military conflict in Afghanistan. To tell the truth, absolutely, I don’t understand pleasure of some Russian «hurrah – patriots» in connection with planned military actions in this country. I think, that to their hopes that Americans will put military defeat to Taliban and thus will help to solve, any Russian geopolitical problems, no less than that Afghans will break «American carriers» on the first and by that will bring down their arrogance, and those will be withdrawn for ever back home and come true not judged. Most likely, business is absolutely different - USA actually is not going to be actively at war in Afghanistan.

A principle «water turns stone» – air strikes, local special actions, will carry out, war most likely. Certainly, such tactics not will allow achieving a final military victory, but will allow Americans seriously and for a long time to fix the military presence in central Asian region. All this fuss around the struggle against international terrorism is necessary for the Americans anxious with activity and aggression of the Russian plans on Caucasus and in Central Asia, and not only to designate geopolitical interests in the given region but also to start to implement these policies. The Russian politicians should understand, that if Americans will come, it means only one - Russians are «having rest». Many factors indirectly testifying that henceforth the opinion of the White house in this region became more important than opinion of the Kremlin.

For example, I was recently on a business trip to Kazakhstan and listened on local TV to press conference of President Nazarbayev. A question of the Russian journalist: «How much the position of Russia influences the position of Kazakhstan concerning military actions forthcoming in Afghanistan?» Sincere bewilderment on person of Nazarbayev – «And why do you mention here Russia? I talk with many, with Americans, Uzbeks, Tajiks, Kyrgyz, and with Putin as well among many to whom I talked - discussed some questions". We speak, that the state is independent and we decide how to deal with the situation. 

As a whole the answer of the president of Kazakhstan was reduced to the following - we render Americans comprehensive support if those are required, and we are not going to ask anything from Putin in this connection. About the same, that there is «CIS» agreement about collective security, bilateral treaty with Russia about mutual aid, he at all did not mention. If Nazarbayev (the most loyal to Russia from all central - Asian presidents) so conducts himself, what is possible to speak about Karimov, Turkmenbashi and other, not having even the common borders with Russia?

Hopes of the Kremlin hawks, to understand a fuse of struggle against «international terrorism» that Americans will help Russian with Chechens, as well are deprived of all bases. I do not doubt, that the position of USA on Chechen problem remain the same - the state should not assimilate to terrorists and rights of civilians should to be observed without dependence, what purposes are put before itself with this state. Moreover, taking into account interest of Americans in easing positions of Russia on Caucasus, I shall not be surprised, if shortly arsenals of the Chechen resistance will be filled up with new «Stingers» and other kinds of arms. 

So, that Russia, in my opinion, today, objectively, the most disinterested side, in the beginning of the Afghan war, consequence of which can become an additional pressure on it without that the heated southern boundaries, easing of influence on the central Asian neighbors, and their transition into a zone of the American attraction with all consequences following from here. It is a kind of expansion of NATO to the East only from the other side».

Low (unsigned), Constant reader of Kavkaz-Center.
Kavkaz-Center


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  «Yes to Basayev. No to
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  Expansion of NATO to the
   East from the other side
  Tbilisi denies data on fights

  Shevardnadze does not
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  Maskhadov insists on
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  Minus’ can become plus’

  Fight in Nadterechny
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  Zelimkhan Yandarbiyev:
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  Osmanli board - Islamic
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  Moscow pushes Georgia
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  The high price we must pay
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