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Five
years have passed since the date of signing Hasavyurtov agreement made between
the then chief of staff of Chechen armed formations, Aslan Maskhadov and
secretary of Security Council of Russia, Alexander Lebed. According to the
document, Chechnya was de facto considered independent state. President of
self-proclaimed Republic of Ichkeria, ASLAN MASKHADOV in his interview declared,
that present situation in Chechen Republic is similar to that, which developed
in middle of 1996 and consequently, he does not doubt, as signing of peace
agreement will finish the second Chechen war also.
Five
years ago, signing of peace Hasavyurtov agreements finished first Chechen war.
Whether there was any sense in signing of the document, which practically both
sides at once began to violate?
Speaking
about Hasavyurt, we would like to recollect events previous to its signing.
Russian generals used their utmost forces in Chechen Republic to break spirit of
Chechen fighters and to destroy them physically. Large-scale approach to
positions of our forces in the summer 1996 was undertaken to completely break
resistance. It failed. Failure of army more often lead to retaliatory operations
against peace population, its uttermost decomposition became the first reason,
which have followed the events of August, 1996, finished by signing Hasavjurtov
agreement. It was good that politicians in Russia realized all malignity of
situation for Russian army and decided to rescue it. I mean that general
Alexander Lebed and others, who could convince Boris Yeltsin of necessity of the
ending of war.
You
consider, that something similar may occur in Chechen Republic this time also?
The
army in Chechen Republic has exhausted and divided, having changed to real
bandit formation. It has taken place for two reasons. First, regular army has
been diluted by so-called contractniks (soldiers
working for money)
- as a matter of fact, criminals and addicts. Second, with the help of huge
military machinery try to counter guerilla movement. The army does not know,
from which side, it may wait for impact, in what direction to move, who are its
enemies, and who are supporters. And it behaves as the elephant in utensil shop.
Therefore, today's scale movement of the Russian military in the foothill and
mountain of Chechen Republic is very similar to that carried out in summer 1996.
By the way, similar situation was in Afghanistan before making decision about
conclusion of armies from there. Gorbachev has given last possibility to
military to finish Afghan war, having crushed so-called dushmans (bandits). In
this period, Soviet armies also had to suffer the biggest losses in human force
and engineering - because operated not in compliance with military conditions,
but on whim of military command.
You consider, that soon there will be new Hasavyurt?
All
depends on how much responsible will behave supreme political leadership of
Russia. Senselessness of extension of war is obvious. Any of the declared
objectives is not achieved. After expiration of two years of continuous
bombardments and shelling, murders of peaceful people and general robberies,
Caucasus did not become a zone of peace and tranquility, southern regions of
Russia have not found declared stability. Either here, or there are sounds of
explosions, interethnic and interreligious conflicts flash, and report about
preparing of revolution in Karachaevo-Cherkesia and in Kabardino-Balkariya,
about acts of terrorism in North Ossetia.
That
is the severe politics of Russia in the Chechen Republic could not frighten
peoples living on Caucasus and to force them to forget about unsolved problems
of this region. Means, it is necessary - to develop one politics, capable to
take into account interests of peoples living on this ground. Whether political
will and wisdom will suffice at the present leadership of Russia to solve this
problem not military, or political basis, but first of all on moral of Hasavyurt
– peace and tranquility in Caucasus will depend on it.
Similar to first war, the present one will be finished by signing of agreement
of peace. Probably, it will take place not in Hasavyurt, and somewhere else,
probably, signers of agreement will be other people, but undoubtedly it will
take place, because all wars end in peace.
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